Marlowe Macro Report

Page 1 of 199

Marlowe Research

MACRO

WEEKLY

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Current Macro Regime

Slowdown

-32

Composite Score

Confidence: High

Leading indicators are weakening materially. Unemployment at 4.1% is showing strain and consumer confidence has fallen to 68. A recession is not yet confirmed but the probability is rising.

Unemployment Rate:4.1%
Nonfarm Payroll:+150K
Retail Sales MoM:0.3%
Consumer Confidence:68.0
CPI Inflation YoY:2.8%
Core PCE:2.5%
199 pages · 196 indicatorsPowered By Mycroft

Use arrow keys, swipe, or click arrows to navigate · Powered By Mycroft